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Greece is on the brink of a historic UEFA Nations League achievement, needing just a draw against England to secure their spot in League A for the very first time! In this impressive debut in League B, Greece has shown some serious defensive skills, boasting the best record in the group with only one goal conceded. Their home turf has turned into a fortress in the UNL, with eight wins in their last 11 games, and that 2-1 victory at Wembley in the reverse fixture is sure to give them a confidence boost. However, they’ve never beaten England on Greek soil, so that’s a little mental hurdle they’ll need to jump over to seal the deal.
On the flip side, England sees this match as a chance for redemption, hoping to reclaim their League A status. While many fans think their relegation was a bit unfair, the team needs to show they belong among Europe’s elite once again. Caretaker manager Lee Carsley, who’s wrapping up his time before Thomas Tuchel steps in, is eager to deliver a standout performance and avoid a promotion play-off. England has won both of their UNL away games this cycle by two-goal margins, showing off their strong offensive potential.
Injury Report: With a few key players sidelined, England will be missing some big names like Trent Alexander-Arnold, Levi Colwill, Phil Foden, Jack Grealish, Cole Palmer, Aaron Ramsdale, Declan Rice, and Bukayo Saka. But new additions like Morgan Rogers, Jarrod Bowen, Jarrad Branthwaite, Tino Livramento, and James Trafford are super eager to make their mark, giving Carsley a chance to shake things up for this crucial match!
Greece to Win: 11/4
Draw: 17/10
England to Win: 8/11
Odds via Betfair, subject to change
England to Win @ 8/11: England’s strong away form suggests a 53% chance of success in this must-win match.
Fotis Ioannidis to Score @ 5/2: Ioannidis has been a pivotal player in Greece’s campaign.
Under 2.5 Goals @ 4/6: Given Greece’s defensive strength, a low-scoring match has a strong likelihood.
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England Wins: 5
Draws: 2
Greece Wins: 1
Head-to-Head Record: England have historically dominated, winning 5 of their 8 encounters with Greece.
Defensive Edge: Greece boasts the best defensive record in League B, having conceded only one goal in this campaign.
Big Chances Created: England have created an average of 2.8 big chances per game, ranking second in League B behind Wales (3.8).
Goal Averages: Greece score an average of 2.1 goals at home, while England average 1.5 goals on the road.
Hot Stat: Greece have managed to keep a clean sheet in nine of their 11 UNL home games, underscoring their defensive consistency.
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