Chelsea vs Southampton: Betting Insights, Preview, and Predictions

Chelsea's fight for a Champions League spot just got a bit tougher! Can they bounce back against last-place Southampton at Stamford Bridge?

February 24, 2025
8:22 pm

Chelsea’s 2025 nightmare rolls on as they let an early lead slip away at Aston Villa last weekend, losing 2-1. The pressure is on manager Enzo Maresca, with the Blues now facing three defeats in their last four Premier League matches, dimming their hopes for a UEFA Champions League spot next season.

But wait! A glimmer of hope shines as Chelsea gets ready to host rock-bottom Southampton at Stamford Bridge. Maresca will be itching for a strong response from his squad, especially after they crushed Southampton 5-1 in the earlier match. History is on Chelsea’s side — they’ve won 11 of their last 14 Premier League games against teams at the bottom and have triumphed in six of their seven league matches this season against sides sitting 15th or lower.

On the flip side, Southampton took another hit last round with a tough 4-0 home loss to Brighton, keeping them stuck at the bottom of the Premier League table. With just nine points from 26 games, relegation seems almost certain. The Saints are a whopping 13 points away from safety.

Interestingly, Southampton has a rare chance to make history by snagging back-to-back away Premier League wins for the first time since June 2020, following their recent 2-1 victory at Ipswich. They also won 1-0 on their last trip to Stamford Bridge but haven’t managed consecutive away league wins against Chelsea since 1985.

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: Chelsea the Overwhelming Favorite

Chelsea to win: 2/9 (81.8%)
Draw: 6/1 (14.3%)
Southampton to win: 10/1 (9.1%)

Best Odds:

Chelsea to win: 1/4
Both teams to score – Yes: 13/8
Over 2.5 total goals: 2/7

Don’t miss out – click below for the best odds and exclusive bonuses!

Players to Watch

Chelsea’s Enzo Fernandez found the net against Villa — a bittersweet moment as it marked the first time he scored in a losing effort for either the Blues or Benfica (W13 previously). For Southampton, keep an eye on Joe Aribo, who scored one of his three league goals this season in the earlier match, with all his goals coming before the 30th minute.

Chelsea vs Southampton: Head-to-Head and Key Numbers

Chelsea leads the all-time head-to-head record with 50 wins from 114 matches, while Southampton has 33 victories.
The Blues have lost two of their last three league meetings with Southampton — as many defeats as they had in the previous 18 encounters.
Southampton’s 1-0 win at Stamford Bridge in the 2022-23 season was their first away league victory against Chelsea in nearly four decades.
Chelsea have won 11 of their last 14 Premier League matches against teams starting the day at the bottom of the table.
Southampton have lost their last six midweek games in the Premier League.

Hot Stat: Chelsea’s last ten home matches across all competitions have averaged a whopping 4.1 total goals per game.