Aston Villa vs. Chelsea: Betting Insights, Preview, and Predictions

Villa Park is ready to take on Chelsea’s quest for redemption! Scroll down and check out the preview and stats!

February 21, 2025
6:57 pm

Aston Villa’s 2-2 draw with Liverpool on Wednesday night marked their fourth draw in five Premier League matches, with loanees Marco Asensio and Marcus Rashford making their first starts for the club. This five-match winless streak is their longest in the top flight since a run that ended in December, which included a 3-0 loss to Chelsea.

Now trailing their visitors by four points, a win here would bring Villa closer to qualifying for Europe next season as they kick off just inside the top half. The form book looks good for them at home, where Unai Emery’s squad has only lost once in the league this season. Plus, Villa has just one defeat in their last 22 Saturday Premier League home games.

On the flip side, Chelsea has been struggling lately, with only two wins in their last nine league matches. Their 3-0 thrashing by Brighton in their last game was their heaviest Premier League defeat of the season, and they didn’t manage a single shot on target. But this could be the perfect chance for a comeback, as Chelsea has won 13 Premier League away games against Aston Villa, with only Tottenham (16) and Southampton (15) being more generous hosts in the competition’s history.

The Blues are unbeaten in their last four visits to Villa Park, with three of those wins coming by two-goal margins. To repeat that, they’ll need to snap their five-match winless away league run, during which they’ve failed to score in three games. Still, Chelsea usually finds the net at Villa Park, scoring two or more goals in seven of their last eight visits.

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: Chelsea the Bookmakers’ Pick

Aston Villa to win: 17/10 (37%)
Draw: 11/4 (26.7%)
Chelsea to win: 31/20 (39.2%)

Aston Villa vs. Chelsea Best Odds

Ollie Watkins Anytime Goalscorer @ 6/4
Morgan Rogers Anytime Goal or Assist @ 5/4
Cole Palmer Over 3.5 Shots @ 5/4

Don’t miss out – click below for the best odds and exclusive bonuses!

Players to Watch

Ollie Watkins scored for Villa against Liverpool in midweek, netting his third goal in four appearances. Interestingly, 11 of his 12 goals this season have come in games where both teams scored. On the other hand, Pedro Neto has scored all four of his Chelsea goals in the second half this season, but he’s yet to find the net away from home for the Londoners.

Aston Villa vs Chelsea: Head-to-Head and Key Numbers

This will be the 168th meeting between the two sides, with Chelsea leading 70-60.
Their last clash was in December 2024 when Chelsea won 3-0 at home in the reverse fixture.
Six of the last eight head-to-head encounters have seen one side keep a clean sheet.
Five of Villa’s last six games across competitions have seen both teams score.
Chelsea has won just two of their last nine league games (with four losses).
Villa has lost just one of their last 22 home Premier League games played on a Saturday (with 16 wins).
Chelsea has scored at least two goals in seven of their last eight visits to Villa Park.

Hot Stat: Before matchday, Chelsea has scored a Premier League-high six away league goals before the 15th minute this season.