Liverpool vs Real Madrid: Betting Insights, Preview, and Predictions

Can Liverpool break their Madrid curse and make it five wins from five in the Champions League?

November 26, 2024
2:45 pm

Liverpool’s momentum is still going strong! They snagged an exciting 3-2 win over Southampton this weekend, keeping them at the top of both the Premier League and UEFA Champions League (UCL) standings. Their solid defense has been key to this success, with the Reds holding the best defensive record in both competitions.

But now, they’re up against their toughest challenge yet—hosting Real Madrid, the reigning UCL champs and Europe’s most successful club. Liverpool’s recent history with Los Blancos isn’t great, with seven losses in their last eight matchups, including two UCL final defeats. The Reds are aiming to make history by winning their first five matches of a major European campaign for just the second time.

Real Madrid, meanwhile, is coming off some easy domestic wins over Osasuna (4-0) and Leganés (3-0). However, their UCL journey has been a bit rocky, with two losses in four matches, including a 3-1 defeat to AC Milan on matchday four. Another loss here would mean Madrid has faced three defeats in a single UCL group stage for the first time. Still, Carlo Ancelotti’s experience against Liverpool—eight wins from 11 matches—might just tip the scales.

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability

Liverpool: 10/11 (1.91) – 52.4%
Draw: 14/5 (3.80) – 26.3%
Real Madrid: 27/10 (3.70) – 27.0%
(Odds via Ladbrokes, subject to change)

Best Bets

Mohamed Salah Anytime Goalscorer @ 11/8: Salah has been Liverpool’s talisman this season and will look to add to his tally against Madrid.
Jude Bellingham Over 0.5 Shots on Target @ 5/4: The young Englishman has been a driving force for Madrid’s attack this season.
Double Chance (Real Madrid or Draw) @ 4/9: Despite a mixed run, Real Madrid has proven to perform well under pressure, especially in the Champions League. They often manage at least a draw in tough away games.

UK Matchday prediction: Double Chance – Real Madrid or Draw @ 4/9. Click the link below for the best odds and an exclusive welcome bonus!

Key Stats and Trends

Liverpool: They’re rocking a perfect record in the UCL this season, scoring first in nine of their last 11 matches and winning ten of those!
Real Madrid: They’ve had two losses in their last three UCL games but are unbeaten in their last eight European showdowns with Liverpool.
Head-to-Head: Liverpool has the highest loss percentage against Madrid (64%) in the UCL among teams they’ve faced five times or more.

Hot Stat: Thibaut Courtois has kept four clean sheets in his last six games against Liverpool, which is a big reason for Madrid’s success in this matchup.