Girona vs Liverpool: Betting Insights, Preview, and Predictions

With Girona struggling for consistency and Liverpool sitting comfortably atop their UCL group, this game promises goals, drama, and standout performances.

December 9, 2024
2:40 pm

Girona’s uphill battle continues

Girona’s fairy-tale rise to the UEFA Champions League has been exciting, but they’ve had a tough time keeping up with Europe’s best. Currently sitting 30th out of 36 teams in the UCL standings with just three points (W1, L4), their chances of moving forward are looking slim. Things get even trickier as they host Liverpool, one of Europe’s hottest teams, in their first-ever clash with an English club.

Míchel’s squad is in a rough patch, winless in their last four matches (D1, L3). A 3-0 loss to Real Madrid over the weekend really exposed their defensive issues, leaving fans eager for a turnaround. With 10 losses already this season—two more than all of last year—Girona’s magical run is in jeopardy.

Liverpool flying high

Under new manager Arne Slot, Liverpool has been on fire, losing just once in 21 matches this season (W18, D2). With a perfect record in their UCL group (W5), they’re close to clinching a spot in the Round of 16.

Thanks to Storm Darragh, Liverpool got a surprise break after their derby with Everton was postponed, so they’ll be well-rested. While the Reds have historically struggled in Spain (W2, D1, L7 in their last 10 visits), their recent UCL away record (10 wins from 12) shows they’re ready for this challenge.

Pre-game odds and win probability

HOME: 19/4 (17.4%)
DRAW: 7/2 (22.2%)
AWAY: 1/2 (66.7%)
(Odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change.)

Best Odds:

Liverpool to win @ 1/2
Mohamed Salah to score anytime @ 11/10
Liverpool to keep a clean sheet @ 15/8

UK Matchday Prediction:

Liverpool double chance (win or draw) @ 1/8. With Girona’s injuries and poor form, it’s tough to back the hosts, while Liverpool’s strength and depth make them clear favorites.

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Key Numbers and Stats

Girona’s home record includes impressive wins over Arsenal and Manchester City but also losses to Brighton and Chelsea.
Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah has been involved in 15 goals in his last 10 games (10 goals, 5 assists).
Liverpool have conceded just 1.0 goals per game on average across their last 10 matches.

Players to watch

Bryan Gil (Girona): The ex-Tottenham winger has been Girona’s creative spark, with his last four goals all being first-half openers.

Luis Díaz (Liverpool): A late-game specialist, Díaz has scored three of his last four goals after the 80th minute, making him a game-changer for the Reds.

Hot stat: Six of Liverpool’s last eight away games have seen both teams score and over 2.5 goals.