Southampton vs Liverpool: Betting Insights, Preview and Predictions

Southampton are struggling at the bottom, while Liverpool are flying high at the top. Can the Saints pull off an upset, or will the Reds dominate again?
Liverpool

Southampton’s return to the Premier League has been pretty rough. After a thrilling win over Everton, the Saints hit a wall with a 2-0 loss to Wolves, leaving them stuck at the bottom of the table with a tough record. Now, they’re up against league leaders Liverpool, which is no easy task. History isn’t on Southampton’s side. Teams with ten losses in their first 12 top-flight games usually get relegated. But there’s a tiny spark of hope at St Mary’s, where they’ve only lost one of their last eight home games against teams at the top of the league.

Liverpool, on the other hand, loves these matchups. The top team has won 12 of the last 14 games against the team at the bottom. They also have a strong record against Southampton, winning 11 of their last 13 meetings, with seven of those being clean sheets.
After international breaks, Liverpool tends to come alive, with just two losses in their last 26 league games. Manager Arne Slot is eager to make history by matching the record for the fastest to reach ten Premier League wins.

Keep an eye on Adam Armstrong, who scored the winner in three of his last four games and netted against Liverpool last time they played. Also, Cody Gakpo, who scored in that match, has found the net six times this season, all after halftime.

Latest Odds

Home win (Southampton): 94/10
Draw: 26/5
Away win (Liverpool): 8/25

Odds via Ladbrokes, subject to change.

Best Bets

  • Liverpool to Win & Over 2.5 Goals @ 1/1: A strong choice based on Liverpool’s high probability of victory and recent scoring form.
  • Mohamed Salah to Score Anytime @ 5/6: The Egyptian forward remains a constant goal threat, particularly against weaker opposition.
  • Both Teams to Score @ 6/5: Southampton have shown glimpses of attacking capability, and Liverpool’s defence occasionally concedes.
  • Southampton Double Chance (Win or Draw) @ 11/4: A long shot, but appealing value given the estimated 27.18% chance of Liverpool not winning.

UK Matchday prediction: Double Chance – Liverpool or Draw @ 1/8. Click the link below for the best odds and exclusive welcome bonus!

Probability Estimates

Southampton win: 11.71% (Odds: 12/1)
Draw: 15.47% (Odds: 26/5)
Liverpool win: 72.82% (Odds: 8/25)

Head-to-Head History

Southampton Wins: 31
Draws: 26
Liverpool Wins: 62

Last League Fixture: Southampton 4-4 Liverpool
Liverpool conceded more goals in that match than in their previous six visits to St Mary’s combined

Key Stats

  • Liverpool are five points clear at the top of the table.
  • The Reds have 24 more points than Southampton this season.
  • Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 13 league and cup games.
  • Southampton have lost nine of their 11 Premier League matches this term.
  • Liverpool have collected 13 points from five away league games.
  • Three of Liverpool’s four away wins saw them lead at both half-time and full-time.

Hot Stat: Only one of Liverpool’s 11 league games this season has had more than 3.5 goals.

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