Everton vs Liverpool: Betting Insights, Preview, and Predictions.

As Everton host Liverpool for the final Premier League derby at Goodison Park. Can the Reds spoil the party, or will the Toffees rise to the occasion?

December 6, 2024
1:55 pm

The Merseyside Derby, one of football’s coolest rivalries, hits a bittersweet milestone with the 245th showdown between Everton and Liverpool. This will be the last Premier League match at Goodison Park, Everton’s home for over 130 years, and the blue half of the city is eager to make it a night to remember.

Everton comes into this match with fresh confidence after a 4-0 thrashing of Wolves ended a five-game winless streak. Sean Dyche’s squad is now looking to score back-to-back wins for the first time since April, when they famously beat Liverpool 2-0 right here.

That victory broke Liverpool’s stronghold in the rivalry, with the Reds having lost just two of the last 30 matchups. Manager Arne Slot will want his team to bounce back after a frustrating 3-3 draw with Newcastle trimmed their lead at the top of the Premier League to seven points. But Liverpool’s shaky defense on the road is a worry, as the league’s best defense has conceded 2+ goals in their last four away games.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Odds stacked against Everton

HOME: 7/1 – 12.5%
DRAW: 4/1 – 20%
AWAY: 4/9 – 69.2%
(odds from Ladbrokes, subject to change)

Best bets:

Liverpool to win to nil @ 27/20
Under 2.5 total goals @ 11/10
Mohamed Salah anytime goalscorer @ 10/11

UK Matchday Prediction

Liverpool to win @ 4/9. Their firepower, with Mohamed Salah at the helm, and their knack for bouncing back under pressure make them the favorites in this match!

Click below for the best odds and an exclusive welcome bonus!

Everton vs Liverpool: Key Numbers

Liverpool have 99 wins to Everton’s 68 in 244 derbies.
Everton’s last back-to-back league derby wins came in 1985.
This fixture has seen 23 red cards and 12 goalless draws – both the highest in Premier League history.
Liverpool were unbeaten in 12 consecutive away league games before last season’s 2-0 defeat at Goodison.
Under 2.5 goals have been scored in four of Everton’s last six matches.
Liverpool have kept clean sheets in three of their last five derbies.
Everton have failed to score in four of their last five matches.

Players to watch: Dominic Calvert-Lewin is ready to take advantage of Liverpool’s defensive slump, having netted in his last two Goodison derbies. On the flip side, Mohamed Salah is on fire for Liverpool, scoring in seven straight league games and breaking the record for the most matches with both a goal and an assist in Premier League history.

Hot stat: Just three of the last 14 Merseyside Derbies have seen both teams score.