Arsenal vs. Newcastle: Betting Insights, Preview, and Predictions

The Carabao Cup semi-finals kick off with a showdown as Arsenal host Newcastle in London. Can the Gunners’ fortress record hold firm against the Magpies’?
Arsenal vs. Newcastle

The Carabao Cup is the main event this midweek as Arsenal takes on Newcastle at the Emirates for an exciting semi-final first leg. Mikel Arteta’s Gunners might be struggling a bit in the Premier League with a tricky 1-1 draw against Brighton, but they’re still a tough team. That draw kept their unbeaten streak alive at 13 matches in all competitions. Arsenal has been on fire against Newcastle at home, winning 12 of their last 13 matchups, with six of those wins by two or more goals. They’re feeling good as they chase their first league cup final since the 2017/18 season.

Newcastle, though, loves to surprise everyone. Eddie Howe’s squad is on a roll, with a six-match winning streak and a recent 2-1 win over Spurs in north London. They’ve only lost once in their last six away games, so the Magpies are ready to challenge Arsenal. Plus, they made it to last season’s final after beating Southampton in a two-legged semi-final.

Keep an eye on Arsenal’s Gabriel Jesus, who leads the Carabao Cup scoring charts this season, with three of his four goals coming after halftime. Newcastle’s Anthony Gordon is also one to watch, known for scoring important equalizers—three of his five goals this season have tied the game at 1-1.

This match is set to be intense and dramatic, with Arsenal’s strong home record facing off against Newcastle’s hot streak. Both teams will be eager to grab the advantage before the second leg at St James’ Park.

Match Facts

  • Arsenal have nearly a 44% win accuracy against Newcastle.
  • They have drawn one out of their last five matches.
  • Newcastle won all of their last five matches.

Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability:

Arsenal win: @1/1
Draw: @16/5
Newcastle win: @39/10

Betting Tips & Odds

Tip 1: Match to end in a draw  @29/10
Tip 2: Gabriel Jesus to be the first scorer @5/1
Tip 3: Arsenal 2-2 Newcastle @12/1

Don’t miss out – click below for the best odds and exclusive bonuses!

Head-to-Head history:

Total Matches: 181

Arsenal won: 81

Newcastle won: 63

Draws: 37

Players to Watch:

Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal): The 22-year-old Italian defender has quickly made an impact since joining Arsenal in 2024. With 11 appearances and a goal to his name, Calafiori’s blend of defensive strength and attacking flair, honed during a standout 2023-24 Serie A season, makes him a key player in Arsenal’s semi-final ambitions.

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle): A midfield maestro at just 24, Tonali has become indispensable for Newcastle since his move from AC Milan in 2023. Known for his vision and passing, Tonali’s ability to dictate play and provide leadership will be crucial as Newcastle aim for Carabao Cup glory.

Hot stat: The home team hasn’t kept a clean sheet in Arsenal’s last seven Carabao Cup games.

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